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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Zamora vs CD Coria prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zamora host CD Coria in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zamora 2–0 CD Coria.
Going into the match, Zamora had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. CD Coria had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Zamora's last 10 and 7 of CD Coria's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zamora averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home CD Coria averaged 1.11 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Zamora and 1.16 from CD Coria. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 27%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zamora (green) and CD Coria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Zamora Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.