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Premier League · Egypt
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zamalek SC host Al Ahly in the Premier League (Egypt) on 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zamalek SC 0–2 Al Ahly.
Going into the match, Zamalek SC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Al Ahly had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Zamalek SC's last 10 and 3 of Al Ahly's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zamalek SC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Al Ahly averaged 2.00 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Zamalek SC and 1.25 from Al Ahly. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 47%, against 22%, 28% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zamalek SC (green) and Al Ahly (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamalek SC | LWWWW | 1.60 | 0.50 | 20% | 50% |
| Al Ahly | WWDWW | 2.30 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 May 2026 · Zamalek SC 0–3 Al Ahly
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.