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Second NL · Croatia
Zagora vs Dugo Selo prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zagora host Dugo Selo in the Second NL (Croatia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zagora 0–4 Dugo Selo.
Going into the match, Zagora had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 22. Dugo Selo had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Zagora's last 10 and 2 of Dugo Selo's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zagora averaged 3.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dugo Selo averaged 0.57 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Zagora and 2.03 from Dugo Selo. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 49%, against 46%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zagora (green) and Dugo Selo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Zagora Win | 46% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.