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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zaglebie Sosnowiec host Rakow II in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1–0 Rakow II.
Going into the match, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Rakow II had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Zaglebie Sosnowiec's last 10 and 6 of Rakow II's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Rakow II averaged 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 0.97 from Rakow II. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 18%, against 70%, 19% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zaglebie Sosnowiec (green) and Rakow II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | WWLWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Rakow II | LWDWD | 1.30 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.23 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win | 68% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.