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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Kluczbork prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zaglebie Sosnowiec host Kluczbork in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1–0 Kluczbork.
Going into the match, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Kluczbork had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Zaglebie Sosnowiec's last 10 and 6 of Kluczbork's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Kluczbork averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 0.90 from Kluczbork. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%, against 48%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | WLWWL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Kluczbork | LLWLL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jul 2026 · Kluczbork 4–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win | 48% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.