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III Liga - Group 3 · Poland
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zagłębie Lubin II host Górnik Polkowice in the III Liga - Group 3 (Poland) on 2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Zagłębie Lubin II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zagłębie Lubin II 1–1 Górnik Polkowice.
Going into the match, Zagłębie Lubin II had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Górnik Polkowice had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Zagłębie Lubin II's last 10 and 7 of Górnik Polkowice's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zagłębie Lubin II averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Górnik Polkowice averaged 2.17 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.66 from Górnik Polkowice. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 31%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zagłębie Lubin II (green) and Górnik Polkowice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | DWDWW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Górnik Polkowice | LLLWL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.