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Primera Premier · Mexico
Zacatepec 1948 vs Reboceros La Piedad prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zacatepec 1948 host Reboceros La Piedad in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zacatepec 1948 2–2 Reboceros La Piedad.
Going into the match, Zacatepec 1948 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Reboceros La Piedad had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Zacatepec 1948's last 10 and 2 of Reboceros La Piedad's last 6; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zacatepec 1948 averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Reboceros La Piedad averaged 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Zacatepec 1948 and 1.50 from Reboceros La Piedad. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 32%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zacatepec 1948 (green) and Reboceros La Piedad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zacatepec 1948 | WWDWL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
| Reboceros La Piedad | LWWWL | 1.83 | 1.00 | 33% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Reboceros La Piedad Win | 37% | 2.45 |
| 0-1 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.