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FA Cup · China
Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:35 UTC · Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yunnan Yukun host Dalian Zhixing in the FA Cup (China) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Yunnan Yukun had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 22. Dalian Zhixing had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Yunnan Yukun's last 10 and 5 of Dalian Zhixing's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yunnan Yukun averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Dalian Zhixing averaged 1.14 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Yunnan Yukun and 1.94 from Dalian Zhixing. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 50%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yunnan Yukun (green) and Dalian Zhixing (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun | DDLWW | 1.80 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Dalian Zhixing | WWWWW | 1.60 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Yunnan Yukun 3–1 Dalian Zhixing
- 26 Apr 2026 · Dalian Zhixing 1–3 Yunnan Yukun
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.64 |
| Yunnan Yukun Win | 48% | 2.00 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.