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Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United vs Cavalry FC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
York United host Cavalry FC in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: York United 3–1 Cavalry FC.
Going into the match, York United had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 23. Cavalry FC had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 10 of York United's last 10 and 6 of Cavalry FC's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home York United averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cavalry FC averaged 1.69 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from York United and 2.52 from Cavalry FC. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 64%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between York United (green) and Cavalry FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York United | LDLWD | 2.10 | 2.30 | 100% | 70% |
| Cavalry FC | LWDWW | 2.50 | 0.80 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Cavalry FC 5–0 York United
- 11 Jun 2026 · York United 1–5 Cavalry FC
- 26 Apr 2026 · Cavalry FC 1–1 York United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Cavalry FC Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.