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J-League Cup · Japan
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yokohama F. Marinos host Shimizu S-pulse in the J-League Cup (Japan) on 14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Yokohama F. Marinos to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yokohama F. Marinos 2–1 Shimizu S-pulse.
Going into the match, Yokohama F. Marinos had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Shimizu S-pulse had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10 and 6 of Shimizu S-pulse's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Shimizu S-pulse averaged 1.36 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.93 from Shimizu S-pulse. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 25%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yokohama F. Marinos (green) and Shimizu S-pulse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | DWWWD | 1.40 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
| Shimizu S-pulse | WDWWW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos
- 6 Jun 2026 · Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 Shimizu S-pulse
- 31 May 2026 · Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.