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FAW Championship · Wales
Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ynyshir Albions host llanelli AFC in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ynyshir Albions Win — Ynyshir Albions to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ynyshir Albions 6–2 llanelli AFC.
Going into the match, Ynyshir Albions had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. llanelli AFC had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ynyshir Albions's last 9 and 5 of llanelli AFC's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ynyshir Albions averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home llanelli AFC averaged 0.29 scored and 4.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.76 goals from Ynyshir Albions and 0.66 from llanelli AFC. From that it rates a home win at 81%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 6%, against 63%, 20% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ynyshir Albions (green) and llanelli AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | WDDDW | 1.00 | 0.78 | 56% | 33% |
| llanelli AFC | LLLLL | 0.70 | 2.70 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Ynyshir Albions Win | 66% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.63 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Ynyshir Albions HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.38 |
| 2-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.