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League Two · China
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yichun Grand Tiger host Changchun Xidu in the League Two (China) on 12 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yichun Grand Tiger 1–2 Changchun Xidu.
Going into the match, Yichun Grand Tiger had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Changchun Xidu had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Yichun Grand Tiger's last 10 and 7 of Changchun Xidu's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yichun Grand Tiger averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Changchun Xidu averaged 1.09 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Yichun Grand Tiger and 0.93 from Changchun Xidu. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 34%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yichun Grand Tiger (green) and Changchun Xidu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yichun Grand Tiger | DLWWD | 0.70 | 0.90 | 40% | 10% |
| Changchun Xidu | DDWWD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Yichun Grand Tiger Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.80 |
| 1-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.