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K3 League · South Korea
Yeoju Sejong vs Jeonbuk Motors II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yeoju Sejong host Jeonbuk Motors II in the K3 League (South Korea) on 3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 49% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yeoju Sejong 2–1 Jeonbuk Motors II.
Going into the match, Yeoju Sejong had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Jeonbuk Motors II had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Yeoju Sejong's last 10 and 7 of Jeonbuk Motors II's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yeoju Sejong averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Jeonbuk Motors II averaged 0.80 scored and 2.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Yeoju Sejong and 0.79 from Jeonbuk Motors II. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 15%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yeoju Sejong (green) and Jeonbuk Motors II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeoju Sejong | LLLWL | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Jeonbuk Motors II | LLLDL | 0.80 | 2.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Jeonbuk Motors II 2–0 Yeoju Sejong
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Yeoju Sejong Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Yeoju Sejong HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.