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3. Lig - Group 3 · Turkey
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu host Osmaniyespor in the 3. Lig - Group 3 (Turkey) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0–1 Osmaniyespor.
Going into the match, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Osmaniyespor had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 8, with 10 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu's last 7 and 5 of Osmaniyespor's last 8; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Osmaniyespor averaged 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu and 1.15 from Osmaniyespor. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 21%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (green) and Osmaniyespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | WLWWW | 1.86 | 1.43 | 57% | 86% |
| Osmaniyespor | LLLLL | 1.25 | 2.25 | 63% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Oct 2026 · Osmaniyespor 0–3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Win | 50% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.