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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yelimay Semey host Aktobe in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yelimay Semey 1–3 Aktobe.
Going into the match, Yelimay Semey had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Aktobe had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Yelimay Semey's last 10 and 9 of Aktobe's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yelimay Semey averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Aktobe averaged 1.58 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Yelimay Semey and 1.48 from Aktobe. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yelimay Semey (green) and Aktobe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey | WWLLD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Aktobe | DWWLW | 1.80 | 1.60 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Apr 2026 · Aktobe 2–1 Yelimay Semey
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Yelimay Semey Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.