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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Yate Town vs Frome Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yate Town host Frome Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yate Town 3–3 Frome Town.
Going into the match, Yate Town had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Frome Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Yate Town's last 10 and 6 of Frome Town's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yate Town averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Frome Town averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Yate Town and 1.47 from Frome Town. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 46%, against 28%, 25% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yate Town (green) and Frome Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | LDDDW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Frome Town | DDLLD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Frome Town Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.