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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Yate Town vs Berkhamsted prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yate Town host Berkhamsted in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yate Town 0–3 Berkhamsted.
Going into the match, Yate Town had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Berkhamsted had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Yate Town's last 10 and 5 of Berkhamsted's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yate Town averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Berkhamsted averaged 1.17 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Yate Town and 1.61 from Berkhamsted. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 49%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yate Town (green) and Berkhamsted (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | DLDDD | 1.40 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Berkhamsted | WLWLW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
| Berkhamsted Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.