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Division 1 · Kuwait
Yarmouk vs Burgan prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yarmouk host Burgan in the Division 1 (Kuwait) on 14 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Yarmouk Win — Yarmouk to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yarmouk 0–0 Burgan.
Going into the match, Yarmouk had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Burgan had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Yarmouk's last 8 and 3 of Burgan's last 9; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yarmouk averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Burgan averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Yarmouk and 0.75 from Burgan. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 25%, against 59%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yarmouk (green) and Burgan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Aug 2026 · Yarmouk 3–1 Burgan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Yarmouk Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Yarmouk HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.