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Segunda División · Venezuela
Yaracuyanos FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yaracuyanos FC host Fundación Lara Deportiva in the Segunda División (Venezuela) on 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yaracuyanos FC 3–2 Fundación Lara Deportiva.
Going into the match, Yaracuyanos FC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Fundación Lara Deportiva had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Yaracuyanos FC's last 10 and 6 of Fundación Lara Deportiva's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yaracuyanos FC averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Fundación Lara Deportiva averaged 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Yaracuyanos FC and 1.10 from Fundación Lara Deportiva. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 18%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yaracuyanos FC (green) and Fundación Lara Deportiva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaracuyanos FC | LWWWL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 30% | 50% |
| Fundación Lara Deportiva | LLWWW | 1.70 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · Fundación Lara Deportiva 0–0 Yaracuyanos FC
- 24 Jun 2026 · Fundación Lara Deportiva 0–4 Yaracuyanos FC
- 24 May 2026 · Yaracuyanos FC 1–0 Fundación Lara Deportiva
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Yaracuyanos FC Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.