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K3 League · South Korea
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yangpyeong host Ulsan Citizen in the K3 League (South Korea) on 9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Ulsan Citizen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yangpyeong 2–1 Ulsan Citizen.
Going into the match, Yangpyeong had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 26. Ulsan Citizen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Yangpyeong's last 10 and 5 of Ulsan Citizen's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yangpyeong averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ulsan Citizen averaged 0.86 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Yangpyeong and 1.20 from Ulsan Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 33%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yangpyeong (green) and Ulsan Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yangpyeong | LLLLD | 2.00 | 2.60 | 90% | 80% |
| Ulsan Citizen | LWLWW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Ulsan Citizen 0–0 Yangpyeong
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Ulsan Citizen Win | 37% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.