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League One · China
Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yanbian Longding host Nantong Zhiyun in the League One (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nantong Zhiyun to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yanbian Longding 0–1 Nantong Zhiyun.
Going into the match, Yanbian Longding had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Nantong Zhiyun had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Yanbian Longding's last 10 and 6 of Nantong Zhiyun's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yanbian Longding averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nantong Zhiyun averaged 1.00 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Yanbian Longding and 1.20 from Nantong Zhiyun. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 38%, against 25%, 28% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yanbian Longding (green) and Nantong Zhiyun (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanbian Longding | DLLLL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| Nantong Zhiyun | WWLWD | 1.90 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Nantong Zhiyun 2–0 Yanbian Longding
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Nantong Zhiyun Win | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.