Yagüe vs Cenicero prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Yagüe host Cenicero in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Yagüe 2–1 Cenicero.

Going into the match, Yagüe had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Cenicero had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4, with 5 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Yagüe's last 9 and 3 of Cenicero's last 4; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yagüe averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Cenicero averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Yagüe and 1.29 from Cenicero. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Yagüe (green) and Cenicero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Yagüe form and statistics
• Cenicero form and statistics
• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 statistics