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League Two · China

Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng prediction and preview

12 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.62Market probability 55%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Xi'an Ronghai host Jiangxi Liansheng in the League Two (China) on 12 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Jiangxi Liansheng to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Xi'an Ronghai 2–1 Jiangxi Liansheng.

Going into the match, Xi'an Ronghai had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Jiangxi Liansheng had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Xi'an Ronghai's last 10 and 3 of Jiangxi Liansheng's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Xi'an Ronghai averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Jiangxi Liansheng averaged 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Xi'an Ronghai and 0.50 from Jiangxi Liansheng. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 15%, against 43%, 32% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Xi'an Ronghai (green) and Jiangxi Liansheng (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%
Attack25% – 75%
Defence71% – 29%
Head-to-head20% – 80%
Goals20% – 80%
Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Xi'an RonghaiDWLDL1.000.4020%20%
Jiangxi LianshengLWLWL0.800.8030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X76%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals62%1.50
Under 2.5 Goals61%1.53
BTTS No55%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals39%2.38
Draw31%2.80
Xi'an Ronghai HT & FT28%3.25
0-015%6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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