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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Xelajú host Deportivo San Pedro in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 4 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Xelajú Win — Xelajú to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Xelajú 2–0 Deportivo San Pedro.
Going into the match, Xelajú had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Deportivo San Pedro had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Xelajú's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo San Pedro's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Xelajú averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Deportivo San Pedro averaged 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Xelajú and 0.86 from Deportivo San Pedro. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 59%, 26% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Xelajú (green) and Deportivo San Pedro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xelajú | LWDLD | 2.00 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Deportivo San Pedro | LDDWD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Deportivo San Pedro 1–0 Xelajú
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Xelajú Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.