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Wrexham vs West Brom prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wrexham host West Brom in the Championship (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wrexham 1–2 West Brom.
Going into the match, Wrexham had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. West Brom had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Wrexham's last 10 and 6 of West Brom's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wrexham averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home West Brom averaged 2.00 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Wrexham and 1.29 from West Brom. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wrexham (green) and West Brom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.