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National League · England
Worthing vs Solihull Moors prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Worthing host Solihull Moors in the National League (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Worthing 5–0 Solihull Moors.
Going into the match, Worthing had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Solihull Moors had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Worthing's last 10 and 7 of Solihull Moors's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Worthing averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Solihull Moors averaged 1.73 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.29 goals from Worthing and 0.92 from Solihull Moors. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 13%, against 56%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Worthing (green) and Solihull Moors (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | WDWWW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
| Solihull Moors | WLWLL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Worthing Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.