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National League Cup · England
Worthing vs Ipswich Town U21 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Worthing host Ipswich Town U21 in the National League Cup (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Worthing 1–2 Ipswich Town U21.
Going into the match, Worthing had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Ipswich Town U21 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 32 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Worthing's last 10 and 7 of Ipswich Town U21's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Worthing averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ipswich Town U21 averaged 1.67 scored and 3.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.76 goals from Worthing and 1.09 from Ipswich Town U21. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 12%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Worthing (green) and Ipswich Town U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | WWDWW | 2.00 | 1.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Ipswich Town U21 | DLLWL | 1.60 | 3.20 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.31 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.76 |
| Worthing Win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Worthing HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.