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FA Cup · England
Worksop Town vs United of Manchester prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Worksop Town host United of Manchester in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Worksop Town 0–3 United of Manchester.
Going into the match, Worksop Town had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. United of Manchester had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Worksop Town's last 10 and 7 of United of Manchester's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Worksop Town averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home United of Manchester averaged 1.83 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.31 goals from Worksop Town and 1.59 from United of Manchester. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 26%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Worksop Town (green) and United of Manchester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worksop Town | LWDWL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| United of Manchester | LWWWL | 2.00 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Worksop Town Win | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.