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National League - North · England
Worksop Town vs Morecambe prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Worksop Town host Morecambe in the National League - North (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Worksop Town 2–1 Morecambe.
Going into the match, Worksop Town had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 20. Morecambe had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Worksop Town's last 10 and 4 of Morecambe's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Worksop Town averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Morecambe averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Worksop Town and 1.38 from Morecambe. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worksop Town | LLWDW | 1.30 | 2.00 | 50% | 70% |
| Morecambe | WDWWL | 1.80 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.