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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Workington vs Whitby Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Workington host Whitby Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Workington Win — Workington to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Workington 1–2 Whitby Town.
Going into the match, Workington had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 17. Whitby Town had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 35 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Workington's last 10 and 6 of Whitby Town's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Workington averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Whitby Town averaged 1.88 scored and 2.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.82 goals from Workington and 1.41 from Whitby Town. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 16%, against 56%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Workington (green) and Whitby Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | LDDWW | 2.30 | 1.70 | 70% | 90% |
| Whitby Town | DLLLW | 1.50 | 3.50 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| Workington Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Workington HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.