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Wolves vs Portsmouth prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wolves host Portsmouth in the Championship (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wolves 1–1 Portsmouth.
Going into the match, Wolves had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Portsmouth had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Wolves's last 10 and 5 of Portsmouth's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wolves averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Portsmouth averaged 1.07 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Wolves and 0.77 from Portsmouth. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 17%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wolves (green) and Portsmouth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | WLLWL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Portsmouth | WWLDD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Wolves Win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.