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Wolves vs Bolton prediction and preview

13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Wolves WinOdds 1.40Market probability 65%Final score 1–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Wolves host Bolton in the Championship (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Wolves Win — Wolves to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Wolves 1–3 Bolton.

Going into the match, Wolves had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Bolton had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Wolves's last 10 and 5 of Bolton's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wolves averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bolton averaged 1.18 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Wolves and 0.96 from Bolton. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 67%, 21% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Wolves (green) and Bolton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form54% – 46%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence63% – 37%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
WolvesLWLWD1.701.2050%50%
BoltonLWWLL1.201.8050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals80%1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.28
Wolves Win67%1.40
Under 3.5 Goals62%1.53
Over 2.5 Goals59%1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals59%1.57
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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