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National League · England
Woking vs Harrogate Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Woking host Harrogate Town in the National League (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Woking 0–1 Harrogate Town.
Going into the match, Woking had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Harrogate Town had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Woking's last 10 and 7 of Harrogate Town's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Woking averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Harrogate Town averaged 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Woking and 1.87 from Harrogate Town. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 51%, against 31%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Woking (green) and Harrogate Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woking | WLWDD | 2.10 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
| Harrogate Town | WWWLL | 2.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.