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Premier League · Hong Kong
Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wofoo Tai Po host Southern District in the Premier League (Hong Kong) on 19 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wofoo Tai Po 4–2 Southern District.
Going into the match, Wofoo Tai Po had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Southern District had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Wofoo Tai Po's last 10 and 9 of Southern District's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wofoo Tai Po averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Southern District averaged 1.75 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from Wofoo Tai Po and 1.81 from Southern District. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 30%, against 50%, 23% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wofoo Tai Po (green) and Southern District (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wofoo Tai Po | LDWLL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
| Southern District | WLWLW | 2.20 | 1.60 | 90% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Wofoo Tai Po Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Warriors vs Kitchee · 19 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 1–5