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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland

Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.57Market probability 59%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Wiślanie Jaśkowice host Siarka Tarnobrzeg in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Wiślanie Jaśkowice 4–1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Going into the match, Wiślanie Jaśkowice had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Siarka Tarnobrzeg had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Wiślanie Jaśkowice's last 10 and 5 of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wiślanie Jaśkowice averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Siarka Tarnobrzeg averaged 1.08 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Wiślanie Jaśkowice and 0.98 from Siarka Tarnobrzeg. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Wiślanie Jaśkowice (green) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack46% – 54%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals39% – 61%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Wiślanie JaśkowiceLLDWL1.301.1060%50%
Siarka TarnobrzegLWDWW1.501.4050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No76%1.21
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.48
BTTS Yes58%1.57
Over 2.5 Goals58%1.60
Wiślanie Jaśkowice Win53%1.67
Under 2.5 Goals42%2.30
Wiślanie Jaśkowice HT & FT36%2.60

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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