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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wisla Plock host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wisla Plock 1–0 Radomiak Radom.
Going into the match, Wisla Plock had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Radomiak Radom had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Wisla Plock's last 10 and 5 of Radomiak Radom's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wisla Plock averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Radomiak Radom averaged 0.82 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Wisla Plock and 1.11 from Radomiak Radom. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 20%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wisla Plock (green) and Radomiak Radom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | LWWWD | 1.30 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Radomiak Radom | LWLLD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Wisla Plock 0–1 Radomiak Radom
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Wisla Plock Win | 49% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.