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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Wisła Płock II vs Troszyn prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wisła Płock II host Troszyn in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wisła Płock II 2–1 Troszyn.
Going into the match, Wisła Płock II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 18. Troszyn had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wisła Płock II's last 10 and 8 of Troszyn's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wisła Płock II averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Troszyn averaged 1.18 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Wisła Płock II and 1.23 from Troszyn. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 53%, 22% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wisła Płock II (green) and Troszyn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock II | LWLDW | 1.80 | 1.80 | 70% | 50% |
| Troszyn | DLDWD | 1.20 | 2.40 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Wisła Płock II Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.