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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wisła Kraków II host Jarosław in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wisła Kraków II 2–1 Jarosław.
Going into the match, Wisła Kraków II had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Jarosław had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Wisła Kraków II's last 10 and 8 of Jarosław's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wisła Kraków II averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Jarosław averaged 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Wisła Kraków II and 1.88 from Jarosław. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 38%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wisła Kraków II (green) and Jarosław (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Kraków II | LDDLL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
| Jarosław | DWLWW | 2.60 | 1.70 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 68% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.76 |
| Wisła Kraków II Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Wisła Kraków II HT & FT | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.