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FA Cup · England
Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wingate & Finchley host Bedford Town in the FA Cup (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wingate & Finchley 1–3 Bedford Town.
Going into the match, Wingate & Finchley had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Bedford Town had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wingate & Finchley's last 10 and 8 of Bedford Town's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wingate & Finchley averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Bedford Town averaged 0.86 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Wingate & Finchley and 1.38 from Bedford Town. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wingate & Finchley (green) and Bedford Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | DWWDW | 1.90 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Bedford Town | DDWLW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Oct 2026 · Bedford Town 2–2 Wingate & Finchley
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.