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National Division · Luxembourg
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wiltz host UNA Strassen in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wiltz 0–2 UNA Strassen.
Going into the match, Wiltz had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 33. UNA Strassen had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Wiltz's last 10 and 2 of UNA Strassen's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wiltz averaged 0.80 goals scored and 3.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home UNA Strassen averaged 1.91 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.56 goals from Wiltz and 2.80 from UNA Strassen. From that it rates a home win at 4%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 83%, against 7%, 15% and 78% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wiltz (green) and UNA Strassen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | WLLLL | 2.00 | 3.30 | 80% | 90% |
| UNA Strassen | WWWWW | 2.50 | 0.30 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| UNA Strassen HT & FT | 60% | 1.57 |
| UNA Strassen 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.64 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| 0-3 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.