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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction and preview
6 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Willem II host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 6 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Willem II had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 34. PEC Zwolle had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Willem II's last 10 and 5 of PEC Zwolle's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Willem II averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home PEC Zwolle averaged 1.13 scored and 2.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Willem II and 1.82 from PEC Zwolle. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 46%, against 33%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Willem II (green) and PEC Zwolle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | LWLLL | 1.20 | 3.40 | 70% | 80% |
| PEC Zwolle | WLDWL | 1.20 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.