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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wigry Suwałki host Wisła Płock II in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wigry Suwałki 1–0 Wisła Płock II.
Going into the match, Wigry Suwałki had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Wisła Płock II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Wigry Suwałki's last 10 and 8 of Wisła Płock II's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wigry Suwałki averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Wisła Płock II averaged 1.60 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Wigry Suwałki and 1.14 from Wisła Płock II. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 21%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wigry Suwałki (green) and Wisła Płock II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | WWDLL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 70% | 40% |
| Wisła Płock II | WLDWL | 2.00 | 1.80 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.26 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.64 |
| Wigry Suwałki Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.