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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Whitby Town host Gainsborough Trinity in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Gainsborough Trinity to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Whitby Town 2–6 Gainsborough Trinity.
Going into the match, Whitby Town had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 31. Gainsborough Trinity had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Whitby Town's last 10 and 6 of Gainsborough Trinity's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Whitby Town averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Gainsborough Trinity averaged 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Whitby Town and 2.89 from Gainsborough Trinity. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 69%, against 26%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Whitby Town (green) and Gainsborough Trinity (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | LLWLL | 1.50 | 3.10 | 50% | 80% |
| Gainsborough Trinity | LDWDL | 1.70 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Gainsborough Trinity Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.