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FA Cup · England
Weymouth vs SE Dons prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Weymouth host SE Dons in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Weymouth 1–5 SE Dons.
Going into the match, Weymouth had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. SE Dons had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2, with 5 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Weymouth's last 10 and 1 of SE Dons's last 2; 7 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Weymouth averaged 4.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home SE Dons averaged 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 60% for Weymouth, 22% for the draw and 18% for SE Dons once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Weymouth (green) and SE Dons (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 79% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Weymouth Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.77 |
| Weymouth HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.