Home › League stats › First Division › Wexford vs Longford Town
First Division · Ireland
Wexford vs Longford Town prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wexford host Longford Town in the First Division (Ireland) on 2 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wexford 3–3 Longford Town.
Going into the match, Wexford had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Longford Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Wexford's last 10 and 4 of Longford Town's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wexford averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Longford Town averaged 1.85 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Wexford and 1.85 from Longford Town. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 51%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wexford (green) and Longford Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wexford | LWLWL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Longford Town | WWLLD | 1.60 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Longford Town 1–2 Wexford
- 8 May 2026 · Wexford 1–2 Longford Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Wexford Win | 51% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.