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National League - South · England
Weston-super-Mare vs Folkestone Invicta prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Weston-super-Mare host Folkestone Invicta in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Folkestone Invicta.
Going into the match, Weston-super-Mare had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Folkestone Invicta had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Weston-super-Mare's last 10 and 6 of Folkestone Invicta's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Weston-super-Mare averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Folkestone Invicta averaged 1.17 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Weston-super-Mare and 1.33 from Folkestone Invicta. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 36%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | LDDWW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
| Folkestone Invicta | LLLLD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.