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FA WSL · England
West Ham W vs Chelsea W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
West Ham W host Chelsea W in the FA WSL (England) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals — more than 0.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: West Ham W 0–3 Chelsea W.
Going into the match, West Ham W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Chelsea W had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of West Ham W's last 9 and 3 of Chelsea W's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home West Ham W averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Chelsea W averaged 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.38 goals from West Ham W and 2.22 from Chelsea W. From that it rates a home win at 4%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 79%, against 8%, 13% and 79% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between West Ham W (green) and Chelsea W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham W | WLDLW | 1.22 | 1.33 | 56% | 56% |
| Chelsea W | DWWWW | 1.90 | 0.50 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Chelsea W HT & FT | 60% | 1.57 |
| Chelsea W 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 57% | 2.10 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.