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West Brom vs Birmingham prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
West Brom host Birmingham in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: West Brom 0–1 Birmingham.
Going into the match, West Brom had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Birmingham had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of West Brom's last 10 and 8 of Birmingham's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home West Brom averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Birmingham averaged 1.40 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from West Brom and 1.40 from Birmingham. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between West Brom (green) and Birmingham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | LDWWD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Birmingham | DWLDD | 1.40 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.