Home › League stats › A-League › Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
A-League · Australia
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wellington Phoenix host Melbourne Victory in the A-League (Australia) on 18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Melbourne Victory.
Going into the match, Wellington Phoenix had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 7. Melbourne Victory had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Wellington Phoenix's last 3 and 2 of Melbourne Victory's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wellington Phoenix averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Melbourne Victory averaged 1.38 scored and 0.38 conceded across 8.
The 1X2 prices imply about 29% for Wellington Phoenix, 28% for the draw and 44% for Melbourne Victory once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wellington Phoenix (green) and Melbourne Victory (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix | LWL | 0.67 | 2.33 | 33% | 67% |
| Melbourne Victory | WDDWD | 1.40 | 0.40 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Melbourne Victory Win | 45% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.