Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Isthmian › Welling United vs Whyteleafe
Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Welling United vs Whyteleafe prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Welling United host Whyteleafe in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Welling United 1–0 Whyteleafe.
Going into the match, Welling United had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Whyteleafe had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Welling United's last 10 and 8 of Whyteleafe's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Welling United averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Whyteleafe averaged 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.41 goals from Welling United and 1.09 from Whyteleafe. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 15%, against 54%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Welling United (green) and Whyteleafe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | DLWWW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
| Whyteleafe | LLDWL | 1.50 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Welling United Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Welling United HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.